In an election, candidate A receives n votes and candidate B receives m votes, where n > m. Assuming that all of the (n*m)! n!m! orderings of the votes are equally likely, let
Pn,m
denotes the probability that A is always ahead in the counting of the votes.
(a) Compute P2,1, P3,1, P3,2, P4,1, P4,2, P4,3.
(b) Find Pn,1, Pn,2.
(c) (b) Find Pn,1,Pn,2. (c) On the basis of your results in parts (a) and (b), conjecture the value of
Pn,m
(d) (d) Derive a recursion for
Pn,m
in terms of
Pn-1,m
and
Pn,m-1
by conditioning on who receives the last vote. (e) Use part (d) to verify your conjecture in part (c) by an induction proof on n+m.