A political scientist wants to prove that a candidate is currently carrying more than 60% of the vote in the state. She has her assistants randomly sample 200 eligible voters in the state by telephone and only 90 declare that they support her candidate. The observed z value for this problem is _______. 4.33 2.33 0.45 -.31 -4.33

Respuesta :

Answer:

Z= -4.33

Step-by-step explanation:

Hello!

The study variable is:

X: number of voters that support the candidate out of 200 surveyed voters.

This variable has a binomial distribution, where the "success" is that the voter supports the candidate and the "failure" is that the voter doesn't support the candidate. X~Bi(n;p)

Considering the sample size is large enough, you can apply the Central Limit Theorem and approximate the distribution of the sample proportion to normal: ^p ≈ N(p;[tex]\frac{p(1-p)}{n}[/tex])

Using this distribution you can an approximation to the standard normal distribution: [tex]Z= \frac{p'-p}{\sqrt{\frac{p(1-p)}{n} }}[/tex]≈N(0;1)

Where the sample proportion is ^p= p'= [tex]\frac{x}{n} = \frac{90}{200} = 0.45[/tex]

x= number of successes

n= sample size

The population proportion is p= 0.60

[tex]Z= \frac{0.45-0.60}{\sqrt{\frac{0.60*0.40}{200} }}= -4.33[/tex]

I hope this helps!

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